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ecoop-eurodess:s9.2.5_-_ecosystem_health_in_the_baltic_sea [2009-05-12 18:11:21] goranb |
ecoop-eurodess:s9.2.5_-_ecosystem_health_in_the_baltic_sea [2022-05-31 09:29:32] (current) |
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* annual indicator fact sheets derived from operational monitoring and forecast model time series; | * annual indicator fact sheets derived from operational monitoring and forecast model time series; | ||
* seasonal forecasts of the ecosystem health. | * seasonal forecasts of the ecosystem health. | ||
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+ | === Model === | ||
+ | * The services will be based on operational ecosystem model used in Finnish Meteorological Institute, BalEco< | ||
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+ | === Historical data === | ||
+ | * Also historical (1979-2006) data from measurements carried out by Finnish Institute of Marine Research will be used to produce maps for comparison purposes. | ||
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+ | === Products === | ||
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+ | * Maps describing the current and forecasted state of the ecosystem health in the Baltic Sea | ||
+ | * Maps describing the ecosystem health in the Baltic Sea in previous decades | ||
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+ | To be able to describe the state of the ecosystem health we will use ecological quality ratio (EQR), which will be determined by comparing different indicators (such as DIN, DIP and Chl-a) to the " | ||
===== Users ===== | ===== Users ===== | ||
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* representatives of the media around the Baltic. | * representatives of the media around the Baltic. | ||
+ | ===== Demonstration ===== | ||
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+ | ===Ecosystem health in the Baltic Sea - Ecological quality ratio=== | ||
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+ | Ecological quality ratio, EQR, is a simple quantity representing the state of the ecosystem, thus (mainly) concentrating into the surface layer. It is the ratio between parameter’s actual and reference condition. It is constructed of three different variables; phosphate, nitrate and chlorophyll-a. | ||
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+ | {{: | ||
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+ | Figure 1 30 day average (17.10-17.11.2009) of EQR | ||
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+ | As the demonstration is placed on the late autumn and since it is averaged over rather short period of time it should be taken only as an example which is still settling to its right value. It is clear from the ecosystem’s time scales that the relevant time period that should be taken account is at least two to four months long, maybe even an half of year. Since EQR has been calculated in FMI only for short time (1.5 months) and it did start after the cyanobacterial bloom it is not surprising that the EQR is higher than expected. Especially the Gulf of Finland seems to be in better condition than it should be, this can be however explained by the ecosystem and model dynamics. Phytoplankton uses most of the nutrients during spring and summer blooming and the surface nutrient concentration doesn' |